Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 51.0% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 59.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 61.1%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (194)
49.3% (670)
+1.7%
Power Play
51.7% (151)
53.7% (121)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Tkachuk shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Home
50.0% (140)
54.0% (400)
Away
52.2% (207)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Tkachuk
Stamkos
P1
54.3%
48.6%
P2
50.0%
54.5%
P3
49.5%
45.4%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |