Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 56.0% vs Stamkos 54.6% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 64.0%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 74.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Tkachuk
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (139)
56.1% (342)
+0.7%
Power Play
60.6% (94)
53.3% (92)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
62.5% (8)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Tkachuk is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Tkachuk shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Stamkos
Home
50.4% (121)
53.4% (208)
Away
67.3% (113)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Tkachuk
Stamkos
P1
57.1%
55.6%
P2
60.0%
52.8%
P3
58.3%
59.1%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
58.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%