Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Hagel wins 26.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hagel 40.3% vs Novak 45.6% (-16.1%)
Offensive zone
Hagel 54.5%
Defensive zone
Novak 62.0%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Hagel
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hagel
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
28.0% (75)
43.8% (384)
-15.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.8% (17)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Hagel is 26.4% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Hagel shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Hagel
Novak
Home
35.0% (40)
46.5% (202)
Away
22.0% (41)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Hagel
Novak
P1
22.6%
49.2%
P2
23.3%
44.2%
P3
45.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
16.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.0%
28.4%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%