Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Hagel wins 35.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hagel 40.1% vs Novak 43.3% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Novak 50.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 53.8%
Neutral zone
Hagel 53.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Hagel
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hagel
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (245)
42.1% (1,539)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
51.9% (133)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
50.0% (2)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Hagel is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Hagel shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Home / Away
Hagel
Novak
Home
37.8% (156)
45.3% (814)
Away
35.8% (148)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Hagel
Novak
P1
35.5%
43.9%
P2
34.9%
42.8%
P3
40.2%
41.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
27.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.0%
36.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%