Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Hagel wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hagel 45.9% vs Novak 43.4% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 72.4%
Defensive zone
Hagel 56.6%
Neutral zone
Hagel 52.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Hagel
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hagel
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (39)
41.4% (379)
+4.8%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
46.9% (32)
-26.9%
On power play, Novak has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Hagel is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Hagel shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Hagel
Novak
Home
43.2% (37)
42.6% (195)
Away
31.8% (22)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Hagel
Novak
P1
33.3%
42.4%
P2
42.1%
39.2%
P3
40.9%
44.7%
Final 5 min
22.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.0%
39.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%