Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Hagel wins 36.6% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hagel 46.6% vs Novak 43.5% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Hagel 52.6%
Defensive zone
Novak 60.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Hagel
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hagel
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (56)
40.7% (460)
-3.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
61.5% (39)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Hagel has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Hagel is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Hagel shoots left. Novak is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Hagel
Novak
Home
36.4% (22)
47.0% (236)
Away
43.6% (39)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Hagel
Novak
P1
51.9%
43.1%
P2
25.0%
43.1%
P3
42.9%
40.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.0%
41.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%