Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hagel 47.2% vs Novak 45.0% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 51.1%
Defensive zone
Novak 64.5%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.8%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Hagel
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hagel
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (15)
42.9% (198)
-9.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
40.9% (22)
-7.6%
On even strength, Novak has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Hagel is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Hagel shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Hagel
Novak
Home
12.5% (8)
40.9% (110)
Away
46.7% (15)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Hagel
Novak
P1
28.6%
39.1%
P2
55.6%
43.9%
P3
14.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%