Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs Nelson 49.4% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Point 58.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Point
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
49.9% (840)
-1.6%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
52.8% (89)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
28.6% (35)
+4.7%
On power play, Point has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Point shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Point
Nelson
Home
47.5% (356)
49.8% (458)
Away
54.6% (361)
49.0% (506)
By Period
Point
Nelson
P1
50.0%
50.1%
P2
54.5%
45.4%
P3
48.9%
52.7%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.7%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%