Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Nelson 47.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 55.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.1%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Point
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Point
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Point
Nelson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
46.9% (915)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
57.4% (94)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
25.0% (28)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Point has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Point
Nelson
Home
53.3% (394)
48.9% (521)
Away
48.4% (428)
45.5% (516)
By Period
Point
Nelson
P1
49.8%
45.9%
P2
53.0%
48.0%
P3
49.6%
48.0%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Brayden Point |