Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Dowd 49.1% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 86.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 91.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Point
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Point
Dowd
Last 7: Point 6-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
6
0
Point
Dowd
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Point
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
51.7% (644)
-5.5%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
0.0% (2)
+49.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
41.6% (221)
-21.6%
On power play, Point has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Point is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Point shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Point
Dowd
Home
46.9% (243)
48.6% (451)
Away
46.4% (302)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Point
Dowd
P1
46.2%
49.1%
P2
45.9%
47.3%
P3
48.9%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |