Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Point wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Dowd 48.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 91.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Point
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Point
Dowd
Last 7: Point 4-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Point
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
49.2% (778)
-3.3%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
58.3% (12)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
44.0% (234)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Point is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Point shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Point
Dowd
Home
45.8% (286)
46.3% (492)
Away
45.5% (358)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Point
Dowd
P1
45.9%
49.1%
P2
48.8%
48.2%
P3
40.6%
46.9%
OT
62.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
40.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2023 | OT | 03:59 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |