Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Dowd 50.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 31-29 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 91.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.9%
Neutral zone
Point 50.0%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Point
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
31
(60 meetings)
29
31
Point
Dowd
Last 10: Point 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
20
3
Point
Dowd
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
17
Point
Dowd
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
11
Point
Dowd
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,051)
52.6% (5,850)
-4.3%
Power Play
54.2% (1,010)
56.1% (164)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (244)
43.9% (1,600)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Point is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,040).
Point shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,600).
Home / Away
Point
Dowd
Home
49.0% (3,671)
52.1% (3,753)
Away
48.6% (3,634)
49.6% (3,862)
By Period
Point
Dowd
P1
46.9%
51.9%
P2
51.2%
50.7%
P3
48.1%
50.1%
OT
52.5%
45.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |