Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 31-29 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 91.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.8%
Neutral zone
Point 50.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Point
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
31
(60 meetings)
29
31
Point
Dowd
Last 10: Point 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
20
3
Point
Dowd
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
17
Point
Dowd
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
11
Point
Dowd
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (6,183)
52.4% (6,009)
-4.1%
Power Play
53.9% (1,043)
56.1% (164)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (247)
44.1% (1,635)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Point is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,071).
Point shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Point
Dowd
Home
49.1% (3,733)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
48.5% (3,740)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Point
Dowd
P1
46.8%
51.7%
P2
51.4%
50.4%
P3
48.0%
50.3%
OT
52.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |