Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Dowd 49.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 93.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.3%
Neutral zone
Point 54.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Point
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Point
Dowd
Last 10: Point 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
3
1
Point
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
6
Point
Dowd
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Point
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
52.2% (835)
-4.4%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
60.0% (10)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
44.0% (350)
+27.4%
On penalty kill, Point has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Point is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Point shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Point
Dowd
Home
49.7% (471)
51.5% (619)
Away
47.2% (415)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Point
Dowd
P1
46.6%
51.7%
P2
51.7%
51.6%
P3
46.5%
47.0%
OT
66.7%
22.2%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |