Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs Dowd 53.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 90.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Point
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Point
Dowd
Last 10: Point 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
4
0
Point
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Point
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
4
Point
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
55.4% (771)
-7.1%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
57.1% (7)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
45.5% (165)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Point is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Point shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Point
Dowd
Home
47.5% (356)
58.2% (462)
Away
54.6% (361)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Point
Dowd
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
54.5%
50.5%
P3
48.9%
53.9%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:23 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |