Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Point wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 51.0% vs Dowd 49.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 89.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 65.0%
Neutral zone
Point 59.3%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Point
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Point
Dowd
Last 5: Point 4-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
0
Point
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Point
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (639)
50.7% (379)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.2% (122)
64.3% (14)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
46.5% (157)
-2.7%
On power play, Dowd has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Point is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Point shoots right. Dowd is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Point
Dowd
Home
49.4% (387)
53.7% (244)
Away
52.8% (390)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Point
Dowd
P1
49.1%
53.6%
P2
49.0%
44.1%
P3
54.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Brayden Point |