Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Point wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Cates 40.4% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Cates leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 77.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 83.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 60.4%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Point
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Point
Cates
Last 10: Point 5-5 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
4
2
Point
Cates
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
2
Point
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
3
5
Point
Cates
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (711)
40.4% (841)
+9.5%
Power Play
56.2% (105)
42.4% (66)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
32.7% (147)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Point has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Point shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Point
Cates
Home
53.3% (394)
38.2% (566)
Away
48.4% (428)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Point
Cates
P1
49.8%
40.5%
P2
53.0%
42.4%
P3
49.6%
35.3%
OT
44.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Noah Cates |