Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs Cates 45.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 74.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 63.3%
Neutral zone
Point 55.2%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Point
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Point
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
1
0
Point
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
44.3% (271)
+1.6%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
77.8% (18)
-32.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
31.7% (41)
-11.7%
On power play, Cates has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Point
Cates
Home
45.8% (286)
52.0% (148)
Away
45.5% (358)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Point
Cates
P1
45.9%
42.7%
P2
48.8%
42.9%
P3
40.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
40.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Brayden Point |