Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs Cates 45.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 76.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 76.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.8%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Point
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Point
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Point
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
46.7% (912)
+1.1%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
33.9% (56)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
35.0% (137)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, Point has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Point
Cates
Home
49.7% (471)
46.1% (521)
Away
47.2% (415)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Point
Cates
P1
46.6%
48.0%
P2
51.7%
42.3%
P3
46.5%
44.3%
OT
66.7%
31.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Noah Cates |