Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Point wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 47.1% vs Cates 45.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 56.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 68.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 61.3%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Point
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Point
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Point
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Point
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (435)
45.4% (712)
+0.8%
Power Play
49.5% (105)
42.2% (102)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
44.7% (47)
-24.7%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Point is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Point shoots right. Cates is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Point
Cates
Home
46.9% (243)
46.3% (423)
Away
46.4% (302)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Point
Cates
P1
46.2%
46.3%
P2
45.9%
47.1%
P3
48.9%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
46.6%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Noah Cates |