Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.9% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Point 71.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 78.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Point
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (573)
56.6% (1,064)
-8.3%
Power Play
62.4% (141)
60.4% (260)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
54.0% (261)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Point shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Point
O'Reilly
Home
47.5% (356)
54.9% (801)
Away
54.6% (361)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Point
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
58.0%
P2
54.5%
56.7%
P3
48.9%
55.4%
OT
42.9%
64.7%
Final 5 min
57.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%