Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 48.7% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 59.3%
Defensive zone
Point 72.3%
Neutral zone
Point 64.9%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Point
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Point
O'Reilly
Last 10: Point 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
4
Point
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
4
Point
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Point
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (736)
56.2% (983)
-8.4%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
55.5% (254)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
52.0% (102)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Point has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Point is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Point shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Point
O'Reilly
Home
49.7% (471)
56.2% (697)
Away
47.2% (415)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Point
O'Reilly
P1
46.6%
54.5%
P2
51.7%
55.5%
P3
46.5%
57.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 08:56 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 04:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |