Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Point wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 46.2% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 65.8%
Defensive zone
Point 67.5%
Neutral zone
Point 68.3%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Point
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Point
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Point
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Point
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (582)
55.0% (1,084)
-9.1%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
56.8% (303)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
40.3% (149)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Point is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Point shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
Home / Away
Point
O'Reilly
Home
45.8% (286)
54.8% (759)
Away
45.5% (358)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Point
O'Reilly
P1
45.9%
55.3%
P2
48.8%
51.9%
P3
40.6%
54.2%
OT
62.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
40.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |