Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Larkin 52.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 51.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 70.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 62.6%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Schenn
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Schenn
Larkin
Last 6: Schenn 2-4 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
2
Schenn
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
2
Schenn
Larkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
51.8% (903)
-3.1%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
56.0% (225)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
47.4% (76)
-7.4%
On power play, Schenn has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Schenn
Larkin
Home
49.0% (286)
55.6% (662)
Away
49.1% (293)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Schenn
Larkin
P1
47.7%
49.9%
P2
48.7%
52.7%
P3
51.4%
53.0%
OT
25.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |