Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Larkin 54.1% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 88.9%
Defensive zone
Schenn 81.0%
Neutral zone
Schenn 80.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Schenn
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Schenn
Larkin
Last 10: Schenn 5-5 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
7
Schenn
Larkin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
3
Schenn
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Schenn
Larkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
53.6% (886)
-8.0%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
59.3% (317)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
48.7% (152)
-2.6%
On even strength, Larkin has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Schenn
Larkin
Home
46.8% (494)
56.6% (700)
Away
46.3% (520)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Schenn
Larkin
P1
50.3%
55.4%
P2
47.0%
54.7%
P3
42.2%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
46.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:35 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |