Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Larkin 54.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 66.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 61.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 68.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Schenn
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Schenn
Larkin
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Larkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
5
Schenn
Larkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
52.6% (1,117)
-0.4%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
60.7% (305)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
55.9% (177)
+1.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Schenn
Larkin
Home
51.1% (575)
54.7% (783)
Away
53.4% (607)
54.3% (816)
By Period
Schenn
Larkin
P1
51.4%
55.9%
P2
52.7%
56.1%
P3
52.7%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:03 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |