Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Larkin 55.0% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 50.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Schenn
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schenn
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Schenn
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
55.9% (943)
-8.3%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
57.4% (244)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
46.2% (106)
+1.5%
On even strength, Larkin has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Schenn
Larkin
Home
55.6% (453)
56.0% (654)
Away
43.3% (467)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Schenn
Larkin
P1
48.4%
54.4%
P2
50.3%
55.9%
P3
50.8%
55.2%
OT
22.2%
64.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |