Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.6% vs Larkin 52.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 44-20 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 76.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 81.4%
Neutral zone
Schenn 75.0%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Schenn
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
44
(64 meetings)
20
44
Schenn
Larkin
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
11
Schenn
Larkin
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
15
Schenn
Larkin
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
18
Schenn
Larkin
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (8,799)
51.7% (9,019)
-3.7%
Power Play
53.5% (1,033)
58.5% (2,125)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (396)
50.2% (1,122)
-1.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,675).
Schenn shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Schenn
Larkin
Home
49.7% (5,030)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
47.4% (5,202)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Schenn
Larkin
P1
48.7%
52.7%
P2
48.6%
53.1%
P3
48.3%
52.1%
OT
50.9%
58.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |