Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.3% vs Tavares 49.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 72.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 57.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Schenn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Schenn
Tavares
Last 6: Schenn 2-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Schenn
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Schenn
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (414)
48.6% (716)
-2.5%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
52.4% (208)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Schenn is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Schenn shoots left. Tavares is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Schenn
Tavares
Home
42.3% (222)
50.7% (448)
Away
48.5% (231)
48.1% (482)
By Period
Schenn
Tavares
P1
43.9%
52.8%
P2
48.4%
51.4%
P3
43.5%
43.7%
OT
100.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 28, 2013 | OT | 04:02 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |