Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Tavares 57.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 54.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 55.2%
Neutral zone
Schenn 56.4%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Schenn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Schenn
Tavares
Last 9: Schenn 4-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
4
Schenn
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
57.7% (998)
-5.5%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
60.5% (271)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
56.4% (39)
+1.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Schenn
Tavares
Home
51.1% (575)
59.7% (610)
Away
53.4% (607)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Schenn
Tavares
P1
51.4%
57.2%
P2
52.7%
58.5%
P3
52.7%
59.4%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |