Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Tavares 57.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 52.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 63.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Schenn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schenn
Tavares
Last 5: Schenn 3-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Schenn
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
0
Schenn
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
58.0% (914)
-6.8%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
57.0% (235)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
57.9% (19)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Schenn shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Schenn
Tavares
Home
54.0% (367)
57.8% (614)
Away
53.3% (375)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Schenn
Tavares
P1
48.6%
58.0%
P2
52.0%
56.9%
P3
59.0%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |