Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Tavares 59.8% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.5%
Defensive zone
Schenn 70.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Schenn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schenn
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
60.9% (1,043)
-12.2%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
60.4% (278)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
47.6% (21)
-7.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Schenn
Tavares
Home
49.0% (286)
63.5% (684)
Away
49.1% (293)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Schenn
Tavares
P1
47.7%
60.3%
P2
48.7%
60.4%
P3
51.4%
60.1%
OT
25.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |