Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Tavares 58.7% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 60.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Schenn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Schenn
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Schenn
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
59.2% (1,035)
-11.6%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
60.0% (310)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
42.9% (7)
+4.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Schenn
Tavares
Home
55.6% (453)
57.5% (668)
Away
43.3% (467)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Schenn
Tavares
P1
48.4%
58.0%
P2
50.3%
60.1%
P3
50.8%
61.0%
OT
22.2%
27.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |