Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Tavares 57.7% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 78.2%
Defensive zone
Schenn 86.5%
Neutral zone
Schenn 82.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Schenn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Schenn
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Schenn
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Schenn
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
57.5% (914)
-11.9%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
60.5% (309)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
59.1% (22)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Schenn
Tavares
Home
46.8% (494)
61.0% (661)
Away
46.3% (520)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Schenn
Tavares
P1
50.3%
58.6%
P2
47.0%
57.8%
P3
42.2%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |