Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 74.0%
Defensive zone
Schenn 83.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 81.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Schenn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
18
(29 meetings)
11
18
Schenn
Staal
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
6
3
Schenn
Staal
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
11
Schenn
Staal
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
5
4
Schenn
Staal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
56.3% (1,115)
-10.7%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
61.2% (67)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
52.1% (292)
-6.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Schenn
Staal
Home
46.8% (494)
58.3% (705)
Away
46.3% (520)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Schenn
Staal
P1
50.3%
54.5%
P2
47.0%
58.2%
P3
42.2%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |