Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.4% vs Staal 57.6% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 68.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.6%
Neutral zone
Schenn 53.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Schenn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Schenn
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Schenn
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schenn
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (729)
58.9% (1,096)
-11.3%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
68.4% (57)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
51.8% (222)
-4.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Schenn is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Schenn shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Schenn
Staal
Home
55.6% (453)
57.0% (646)
Away
43.3% (467)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Schenn
Staal
P1
48.4%
55.9%
P2
50.3%
55.4%
P3
50.8%
62.0%
OT
22.2%
70.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |