Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 48.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 75-52 in 127 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 79.7%
Defensive zone
Schenn 83.9%
Neutral zone
Schenn 83.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Schenn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
75
(127 meetings)
52
75
Schenn
Staal
Last 10: Schenn 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
25
14
Schenn
Staal
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
31
Schenn
Staal
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
20
30
Schenn
Staal
50 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (8,691)
56.0% (14,405)
-8.1%
Power Play
53.5% (1,025)
62.6% (1,691)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (392)
48.1% (2,841)
+0.4%
On power play, Staal has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Schenn is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,593).
Schenn shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Home / Away
Schenn
Staal
Home
49.7% (4,994)
56.4% (9,518)
Away
47.4% (5,118)
54.4% (9,484)
By Period
Schenn
Staal
P1
48.6%
55.1%
P2
48.6%
56.0%
P3
48.2%
55.0%
OT
50.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
52.0%▬
53.0%
48.5%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 6, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |