Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.1% vs Staal 54.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 78.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.7%
Neutral zone
Schenn 60.5%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Schenn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Schenn
Staal
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Schenn
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
5
Schenn
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Schenn
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (962)
57.0% (1,017)
-4.8%
Power Play
51.2% (166)
57.7% (26)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (54)
45.1% (286)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Schenn is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Schenn shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Schenn
Staal
Home
51.1% (575)
54.3% (667)
Away
53.4% (607)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Schenn
Staal
P1
51.4%
56.2%
P2
52.7%
57.0%
P3
52.7%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |