Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 53.2% vs Staal 54.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 51.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 75.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Schenn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Schenn
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (613)
56.1% (955)
-4.9%
Power Play
63.6% (107)
66.9% (142)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (22)
43.0% (242)
+29.7%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Schenn is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Schenn shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Schenn
Staal
Home
54.0% (367)
55.4% (663)
Away
53.3% (375)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Schenn
Staal
P1
48.6%
55.1%
P2
52.0%
54.7%
P3
59.0%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |