Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Schenn wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 49.2% vs Sturm 52.5% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Schenn 71.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 63.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.9%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Schenn
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (542)
54.0% (480)
-5.3%
Power Play
70.6% (17)
28.6% (7)
+42.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
50.0% (102)
-10.0%
On power play, Schenn has a +42.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Schenn is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Schenn shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Schenn
Sturm
Home
49.0% (286)
54.0% (287)
Away
49.1% (293)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Schenn
Sturm
P1
47.7%
53.5%
P2
48.7%
51.0%
P3
51.4%
55.1%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%