Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 53.0%). Gaunce wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 51.3% vs Sturm 52.5% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 69.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 74.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Gaunce
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (126)
54.0% (480)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Gaunce is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Gaunce shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Sturm
Home
46.9% (49)
54.0% (287)
Away
55.8% (77)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Gaunce
Sturm
P1
54.5%
53.5%
P2
46.2%
51.0%
P3
55.8%
55.1%
Final 5 min
62.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%