Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Sturm 53.6% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 54.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 54.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 52.8%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Gaunce
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
54.6% (271)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
54.4% (90)
-2.4%
On even strength, Gaunce has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Gaunce is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Gaunce shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Sturm
Home
54.8% (93)
53.0% (168)
Away
59.1% (88)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Gaunce
Sturm
P1
62.3%
58.2%
P2
48.1%
53.2%
P3
59.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%