Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 49.2% vs Sturm 57.1% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 55.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 58.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Gaunce
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (74)
62.1% (356)
-13.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
75.0% (4)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
38.7% (62)
-5.4%
On power play, Gaunce has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Gaunce is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (50).
Gaunce shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Sturm
Home
45.8% (48)
61.8% (191)
Away
51.5% (33)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Gaunce
Sturm
P1
48.1%
58.0%
P2
37.0%
57.9%
P3
59.3%
60.6%
Final 5 min
42.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
48.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%