Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 52.5% vs Sturm 59.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 65.2%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 61.9%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 67.9%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Gaunce
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaunce
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Gaunce
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (170)
60.6% (708)
-6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
61.1% (18)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
56.4% (101)
-6.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Gaunce is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Gaunce shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Sturm
Home
51.4% (107)
61.6% (451)
Away
57.3% (75)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Gaunce
Sturm
P1
63.4%
55.9%
P2
46.3%
58.9%
P3
55.4%
64.6%
Final 5 min
58.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |