Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Gaunce wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 53.2% vs Sturm 55.2% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 68.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 67.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 56.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Gaunce
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (50)
56.1% (716)
-0.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
67.7% (31)
+32.3%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
51.1% (133)
+28.9%
On power play, Gaunce has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Gaunce is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Gaunce shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Sturm
Home
59.0% (39)
55.6% (412)
Away
58.8% (17)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Gaunce
Sturm
P1
50.0%
59.6%
P2
53.3%
52.0%
P3
68.0%
55.5%
Final 5 min
68.8%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
58.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%