Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.0% vs Cozens 52.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 60.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 64.8%
Neutral zone
Howden 56.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Howden
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Howden
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (380)
52.6% (606)
-2.3%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
58.5% (94)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
33.3% (6)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Howden is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Howden shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Howden
Cozens
Home
47.7% (195)
54.1% (375)
Away
52.0% (229)
52.3% (331)
By Period
Howden
Cozens
P1
50.7%
55.8%
P2
52.0%
50.6%
P3
48.4%
53.7%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.0%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |