Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.4%). Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 49.0% vs Cozens 48.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 63.3%
Defensive zone
Howden 53.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 53.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Howden
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Howden
Cozens
Last 10: Howden 1-9 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
6
Howden
Cozens
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
4
Howden
Cozens
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
3
Howden
Cozens
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (2,905)
48.9% (4,075)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.5% (111)
50.4% (714)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (315)
41.0% (439)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Howden is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Howden shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Home / Away
Howden
Cozens
Home
48.4% (1,608)
48.2% (2,677)
Away
49.6% (1,723)
48.6% (2,551)
By Period
Howden
Cozens
P1
49.5%
49.1%
P2
48.0%
47.7%
P3
49.9%
48.8%
OT
39.3%
34.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.0%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |