Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Cozens 46.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 68.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 59.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 54.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Howden
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Howden
Cozens
Last 5: Howden 1-4 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
3
Howden
Cozens
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Howden
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (282)
45.6% (746)
+3.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.8% (65)
-50.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
34.5% (29)
+3.0%
On power play, Cozens has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Howden is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Howden shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Howden
Cozens
Home
52.6% (173)
43.9% (410)
Away
41.5% (118)
47.2% (430)
By Period
Howden
Cozens
P1
51.6%
46.4%
P2
37.1%
41.6%
P3
55.3%
49.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.1%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |