Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 45.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 46.1% vs Cozens 45.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 56.4%
Defensive zone
Howden 56.6%
Neutral zone
Howden 52.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Howden
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Howden
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Howden
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (330)
46.7% (786)
+0.6%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
43.9% (171)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
42.3% (189)
-16.4%
On power play, Cozens has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Howden is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Howden shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Howden
Cozens
Home
44.3% (176)
46.2% (567)
Away
45.8% (190)
44.9% (579)
By Period
Howden
Cozens
P1
43.1%
46.5%
P2
43.1%
46.5%
P3
48.1%
44.2%
OT
100.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
45.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |