Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Cozens 50.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 62.7%
Defensive zone
Cozens 57.8%
Neutral zone
Cozens 59.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Howden
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Howden
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Howden
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Howden
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
51.4% (891)
+2.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
50.5% (184)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
42.4% (85)
+5.7%
On power play, Cozens has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Howden
Cozens
Home
48.8% (258)
49.5% (638)
Away
56.6% (258)
51.9% (522)
By Period
Howden
Cozens
P1
54.0%
51.9%
P2
53.2%
46.4%
P3
50.9%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |