Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs Cozens 52.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 60.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 64.3%
Neutral zone
Howden 54.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Howden
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Howden
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Howden
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Howden
Cozens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
52.6% (606)
-2.2%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
58.5% (94)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
33.3% (6)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Home / Away
Howden
Cozens
Home
47.7% (195)
54.1% (375)
Away
52.8% (233)
52.3% (331)
By Period
Howden
Cozens
P1
51.1%
55.8%
P2
52.6%
50.6%
P3
48.8%
53.7%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |